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Discovering the 2019 NBA Lottery Odds: Which Teams Have the Best Chances?

2025-11-11 11:00

I still remember the excitement building up to the 2019 NBA Draft Lottery—the anticipation was absolutely electric across the basketball world. As someone who follows both professional basketball and international competitions like FIBA Asia Cup, I couldn't help but draw parallels between strategic decisions in different basketball contexts. Just like how Gilas Pilipinas' coach made the conscious decision not to field Jamie Malonzo in their 95-87 loss to Chinese Taipei during the 31st FIBA Asia Cup opener, NBA teams approach the lottery with specific strategies based on their odds. The 2019 NBA lottery odds represented more than just numbers—they represented hope for franchises looking to turn their fortunes around.

When we examine the 2019 NBA lottery odds system, it's fascinating how the reformatted odds created a more balanced playing field. The three teams with the worst regular-season records—New York Knicks, Cleveland Cavaliers, and Phoenix Suns—each had a 14% chance at landing the top pick. That's actually quite significant when you consider how much impact a single player can have on a franchise. I've always believed that the lottery system, while sometimes frustrating for fans, adds an element of drama that other sports simply don't have during their offseason. The tension in that room is palpable even through television screens.

The New Orleans Pelicans, who entered the lottery with just a 6% chance of securing the top selection, ended up defying the odds in spectacular fashion. This reminds me of how unexpected outcomes can occur in international basketball too—like when Gilas Pilipinas fell to Chinese Taipei despite what many analysts predicted would be a straightforward victory. Sometimes the numbers don't tell the whole story, and that's what makes sports so compelling. The Pelicans' leap from seventh-best odds to first overall pick was one of those moments that lottery reformers probably didn't anticipate when they adjusted the system.

Memphis Grizzlies held a 9% chance at the second spot but climbed to number two, while the Los Angeles Lakers, with a 2% probability, jumped all the way to fourth. These movements created ripple effects throughout the league that we're still feeling today. From my perspective as a longtime basketball analyst, these surprising jumps often benefit smaller market teams that struggle to attract top free agents. The draft becomes their primary avenue for acquiring franchise-changing talent, making those lottery odds absolutely critical to their long-term planning.

What many casual fans don't realize is how much preparation goes into these lottery scenarios. Teams employ entire analytics departments specifically to model different draft positioning outcomes. They study not only their own potential picks but also how other teams' movements might affect the draft board. This level of strategic planning isn't unlike how national teams approach FIBA competitions—weighing which players to field in specific situations, much like the decision regarding Jamie Malonzo in that crucial opener against Chinese Taipei.

The Chicago Bulls entered with a 12.5% chance at a top-four pick but fell to seventh, while the Atlanta Hawks moved from tenth to eighth despite having just a 3% chance at a top-four selection. These fluctuations demonstrate why the lottery can be both thrilling and heartbreaking for organizations. I've spoken with front office executives who describe lottery night as one of the most stressful events of the year—their entire offseason strategy can change in an instant based on where that ping pong ball lands.

Looking back at the 2019 NBA lottery odds now, with the benefit of hindsight, it's clear how dramatically those probabilities shaped the league's future. Zion Williamson going to New Orleans instead of New York created entirely different developmental paths for both the player and the franchises involved. This kind of impact is why I always tell basketball fans to pay close attention to the lottery—it's not just a sideshow but a fundamental part of team building in the modern NBA.

The memory of that 2019 lottery remains vivid in my mind, especially when I compare it to unexpected outcomes in international basketball. Just as Gilas Pilipinas' strategic choices in their FIBA Asia Cup matchup against Chinese Taipei generated discussion among basketball enthusiasts, the distribution of 2019 NBA lottery odds and their eventual outcomes continue to be analyzed years later. Both situations remind us that in basketball, whether we're discussing draft probabilities or international roster decisions, the human element often defies statistical expectations. Discovering the intricacies behind those 2019 NBA lottery odds reveals not just which teams had the best chances, but how those probabilities interact with the unpredictable nature of the sport we all love.

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